FC

Lille 1, AD Ceuta FC 2

Thursday, January 22, 2026 · Final · EUR: UEFA Europa League
Lille 1

4-0-6 · L2 · - (1683 ELO -29)

0-0-0 · - (1415 ELO +29)

Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo

Officials: Harm Osmers

AD Ceuta FC vs Lille

CEUTA, Spain (Interstat) — In a stunning Europa League upset that defied pregame projections, Spanish side AD Ceuta FC defeated French club Lille 2-1 on Thursday at Estadio Abanca Balaídos. The match, played in Vigo rather than Ceuta’s usual stadium, saw the underdog home side overcome an early deficit and a first-half red card to secure a memorable victory in the group stage. Pre-match analytics from Interstat heavily favored Lille, giving the Ligue 1 side a 56.3 percent probability to win and projecting a 1-1 draw. Lille’s start seemed to validate those predictions, taking the lead just seconds after kickoff.… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability FRA-LILL 86.7%
Projected Score ESP-XYGH 1 FRA-LILL 1

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