MUNICH (Interstat) — Bayern Munich hosts 1. FC Köln on Saturday in a Bundesliga matchup that pits a surging home side against a struggling visitor, with the league’s computer simulation projecting a 2-1 victory for the defending champions.

Kickoff is set for Saturday, May 16, 2026, at Allianz Arena.

Bayern Munich enters the match after a 1-0 win at Wolfsburg on May 9, maintaining its push atop the league table. The Bavarian side has won four of its last five outings, including a 5-0 thrashing of Saint Pauli on April 11 and a 4-2 victory over Stuttgart on April 19. The only blemish in that stretch was a 3-3 draw with Heidenheim on May 2.

The club’s attack has been prolific, scoring at least three goals in four of its last six matches. Midfielder Jamal Musiala and striker Harry Kane have been central to that output, though both are listed as probable with minor knocks.

1. FC Köln, meanwhile, is in a rut. The visitors lost 3-1 to Heidenheim on Sunday, May 10, a defeat that capped a week in which they also beat Vorwarts Spoho 98 5-1 on the same day in a separate competition. The Heidenheim loss was one of three in Köln’s last five league matches, with the others being a 2-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen on April 25 and a 2-1 loss to Borussia Dortmund on March 7.

Köln’s defense has been erratic, surrendering three goals in its last two league defeats. However, the team showed resilience in a 2-2 draw with Union Berlin on May 2 and a 3-1 win over Werder Bremen on April 12.

The clubs met most recently on Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026, with Bayern Munich winning 3-1 in Köln. That result extended Bayern’s dominance in the series, which has seen the Munich side lose only once to Köln since 2020.

The Interstat game simulator, a statistical model used to project match outcomes, forecasts a 2-1 result in favor of Bayern Munich. The projection reflects both clubs’ recent form, as well as Bayern’s home advantage.

The match is part of the Bundesliga’s regular season schedule.