BERLIN (Interstat) — Union Berlin hosts Augsburg on Saturday, May 16, in a Bundesliga matchup that pits two clubs with contrasting recent form and a pair of conflicting projections.

The game, set for the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, marks the second meeting between the sides this season. Their most recent encounter on Jan. 15 ended in a 1-1 draw in Augsburg, a result that snapped a three-game winning streak for Union against Augsburg in league play.

Union Berlin enters the weekend on a high note after a 3-1 victory at Mainz 05 II on May 10. That win ended a three-match winless run that included a 2-2 draw with 1. FC Köln and a 3-1 loss to RB Leipzig. Manager Urs Fischer’s side has struggled for consistency, with losses to Heidenheim (3-1) and Bayern Munich (4-0) in recent weeks, but has shown resilience in tight matches, earning draws against Arminia Bielefeld and Saint Pauli.

Augsburg, meanwhile, arrives with mixed results from a congested schedule. The visitors most recently defeated Borussia Mönchengladbach II 3-1 on May 9, but earlier that same day lost 5-2 to FC Pipinsried (Interstat) — a result that highlights a defensive vulnerability. The club has been active across multiple competitions, with 10 matches in April and May alone. Among those, Augsburg posted wins over Werder Bremen (3-1) and Bayer Leverkusen (2-1) but also suffered heavy defeats to Schald-Heining (3-0), SF Schwaig (4-0), and Heimstetten (6-1).

The head-to-head history is tightly balanced. In addition to the January draw, Union took 2-1 and 3-0 wins in the previous two seasons, but Augsburg has held its own on the road.

Projections for Saturday’s clash are split. Interstat’s game simulator forecasts a 1-1 draw, while the same company’s ELO system gives Union Berlin an 86.2 percent probability of victory (Interstat) — a stark statistical contradiction that adds uncertainty to a game that could be decided by fine margins.

Key for Union will be maintaining defensive discipline after conceding four goals to Bayern and three to Eintracht Frankfurt in recent losses. Augsburg will look to exploit any lapses, particularly through counterattacks that produced four goals in the wins over Leverkusen and Werder Bremen.

Both teams are expected to be near full strength, though lineup updates will be available closer to kickoff.

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. local time. The match will be broadcast live on ESPN+.