FC

Sporting CP 3, Athletic Club 2

Wednesday, January 28, 2026 · Final · EUR: UEFA Champions League

5-1-3 · L2 · - (1433 ELO +14)

2-2-4 · L1 · - (1269 ELO -14)

Burnaby Lake Sports Complex West Main pitch · Burnaby, BC

Officials: Felix Zwayer

Athletic Club vs Sporting CP

BILBAO, Spain (Interstat) — Sporting CP delivered a dramatic stoppage-time winner to stun Athletic Club 3-2 in a chaotic and contentious Champions League group stage opener at a rain-slicked San Mamés on Wednesday. The match, which featured five goals, 10 yellow cards, and a flurry of impactful substitutions, defied pregame projections. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for Sporting, while its ELO system gave Athletic Club a slight 51.90 percent probability to win. The final result validated one model but followed a wildly unpredictable script. Athletic Club started explosively, silencing the traveling Portuguese support in just the third… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability EUR-SPOR 56.6%
Projected Score EUR-SPOR 2 CAN-ATHL 1

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