VILLARREAL, Spain (Jan. 20, 2026) (Interstat) — Substitute Oliver Edvardsen scored in the 89th minute to lift AFC Ajax to a 2-1 comeback victory over Villarreal CF in a Champions League group stage match Tuesday at Estadio de la Cerámica.

The result was a significant upset. Statistical models heavily favored Villarreal, projecting a 90.4% win probability and a 4-1 final score.

Villarreal’s Tani Oluwaseyi opened the scoring in the 49th minute. Ajax substitute Oscar Gloukh equalized in the 61st, assisted by Owen Wijndal. Edvardsen then netted the late winner, assisted by Aaron Bouwman. The match featured five yellow cards.

Ajax begins its Champions League campaign with a win, while Villarreal starts with a loss.