18-9-18 · W1 · - (1545 ELO +24)

15-14-21 · D1 · - (1569 ELO -24)

Fratton Park · Portsmouth

Officials: Gavin Ward

Portsmouth vs Swansea City AFC

PORTSMOUTH, England (Interstat) — Swansea City AFC opened its English Football League Championship season with an upset 2-1 victory over Portsmouth on Tuesday afternoon at Fratton Park, overcoming a significant pregame statistical disadvantage. The visitors, projected by Interstat’s ELO system to have only a 30.4 percent chance of victory, defied the odds with two first-half goals from substitutes. Portsmouth, favored with a 69.60 percent probability to win, was left to rue missed opportunities in front of its home supporters. Swansea struck first in the 26th minute. Substitute Ethan Galbraith, who had entered the match earlier, found the net to give… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-PORT 71.9%
Projected Score ENG-PORT 1 ENG-SWLU 1

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