GATESHEAD, England (Interstat) — Gateshead opened its National League season with a 2-0 victory over Scunthorpe United on Monday, defying pregame projections.

Playing at Gateshead International Stadium, the home side took the lead in the 22nd minute when defender Brad Nicholson scored. Midfielder Keaton Ward added a second-half goal to secure the win. Scunthorpe’s task was made harder when Ross Barrows received a red card in the 50th minute.

The result was an upset according to Interstat, whose simulator had projected a 1-1 draw and gave Scunthorpe a 61.5% probability to win. Gateshead begins the campaign with a win, while Scunthorpe starts with a loss.