COLERAINE, Northern Ireland (Interstat) — Coleraine opened its Premiership campaign with a 3-1 victory over Carrick Rangers at The Showgrounds on Saturday, defying a high-scoring pregame projection.

Daniel Gibson gave Coleraine the lead in the 28th minute. Charles Dunne doubled it just before the hour mark. Jamie McGonigle appeared to seal the win with a third goal in the 84th minute, though Dean Jarvis pulled one back for the visitors five minutes later.

The result contrasted a Interstat game simulator that had projected a 4-2 win for Carrick Rangers. Coleraine was favored with a 65.6% win probability by the same service’s ELO system. Coleraine begins the season 1-0, while Carrick Rangers starts 0-1.