Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan
CASABLANCA, Morocco (Interstat) — In a stunning Africa Cup of Nations upset defying pregame projections, Sudan defeated Equatorial Guinea 1-0 on Sunday at Stade Mohamed V. The match, played on Dec. 28, 2025, was decided by a 74th-minute own goal from Equatorial Guinea defender Saúl Coco, handing the Sudanese a vital victory in their tournament opener. The result flipped the script on statistical forecasts, which heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a high-scoring 3-2 win for Sudan, while its ELO rating system gave Equatorial Guinea an 80.7% probability of victory. Instead, the contest was a tense,… Read more...
Top Statlines
- Carlos Akapo WOR-EQAT 90min yc
- Sheddy Barglan NAT-SUDX 87min yc
- Gael Akogo WOR-EQAT 0min
Forecasting
ELO Probability
WOR-EQAT 70.7%
Projected Score
SUD-SUDA 3 WOR-EQAT 2
Team Schedules
- 2025-03-22 2:00 PM ET vs Senegal 0-0 D
- 2025-03-25 2:00 PM ET vs South Sudan 1-1 D
- 2025-09-05 3:00 PM ET @ Senegal 0-2 L
- 2025-09-05 3:00 PM ET vs Senegal 0-2 L
- 2025-09-09 12:00 PM ET @ Togo 0-1 L
- 2025-09-09 12:00 PM ET vs Togo 0-1 L
- 2025-10-10 9:00 AM ET vs Mauritania 0-0 D
- 2025-10-14 3:00 PM ET @ DR Congo 0-1 L
- 2025-12-24 7:00 AM ET @ Algeria 0-3 L
- 2025-12-28 9:30 AM ET @ Equatorial Guinea 1-0 W
- 2025-12-31 12:00 PM ET vs Burkina Faso 0-2 L
- 2025-03-21 8:00 AM ET vs Sao Tome e Principe 2-0 W
- 2025-03-24 7:00 AM ET @ Namibia 1-1 D
- 2025-09-04 12:00 PM ET @ Sao Tome e Principe 3-2 W
- 2025-09-08 9:00 AM ET vs Tunisia 0-1 L
- 2025-10-13 9:00 AM ET vs Liberia 1-1 D
- 2025-12-24 9:30 AM ET @ Burkina Faso 1-2 L
- 2025-12-28 9:30 AM ET vs Sudan 0-1 L
- 2025-12-31 12:00 PM ET vs Algeria 1-3 L