Sudan 1

0-0-0 · - (1262 ELO +23)

0-0-3 · L3 · - (1267 ELO -23)

Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca

Officials: Messie Nkounkou

Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan

CASABLANCA, Morocco (Interstat) — In a stunning Africa Cup of Nations upset defying pregame projections, Sudan defeated Equatorial Guinea 1-0 on Sunday at Stade Mohamed V. The match, played on Dec. 28, 2025, was decided by a 74th-minute own goal from Equatorial Guinea defender Saúl Coco, handing the Sudanese a vital victory in their tournament opener. The result flipped the script on statistical forecasts, which heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a high-scoring 3-2 win for Sudan, while its ELO rating system gave Equatorial Guinea an 80.7% probability of victory. Instead, the contest was a tense,… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability WOR-EQAT 70.7%
Projected Score SUD-SUDA 3 WOR-EQAT 2

Team Schedules