Ceara 1, Paulista 0

SAO PAULO (Interstat) — In a dramatic opening-round upset defying pregame projections, Ceará SC rode a first-half goal from substitute Antonio Galeano to a 1-0 victory over Paulista on Sunday in Carioca Série A football action at a stunned Neo Química Arena. The match, which pitted the home side Paulista as a significant favorite, was ultimately decided by a moment of brilliance from Ceará’s bench, upending the statistical models that heavily favored the hosts. Interstat’s ELO system had given Paulista a 59 percent probability of securing a victory, while its game simulator had projected a more comfortable 2-0 win for… Read more...