BOLTON, England (Interstat) — Amario Duberry scored in the fourth minute of second-half stoppage time to lift Bolton Wanderers to a 1-0 victory over Cardiff City in a League One match Saturday at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

The dramatic winner came after a buildup from Josh Sheehan, giving the home side an unexpected win. Interstat’s ELO system had given Cardiff City a 62.3 percent probability to win, and its simulator had projected a 1-1 draw. Instead, Bolton secured the three points. Both teams opened their League One campaigns with the result.