Dunfermline Athletic 1, St Johnstone 0

PERTH, Scotland (Interstat) — A late goal from substitute Robbie Fraser delivered a 1-0 upset victory for Dunfermline Athletic over Saint Johnstone in Scottish Championship play on Saturday at McDiarmid Park. The result defied pre-match projections, as statistical models heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-2 draw, while its ELO system gave Saint Johnstone an 82.5 percent probability of winning. The match, the opening fixture of the league season for both clubs, was a tense and physical affair that saw seven yellow cards issued. The first came in the 21st minute to Dunfermline defender Cheick… Read more...