1-0-0 · W1 · - (1539 ELO +23)

0-0-0 · - (1491 ELO -23)

Oakwell · Barnsley, South Yorkshire

Officials: David Rock

Barnsley vs Doncaster

BARNSLEY, England (Interstat) — Substitute Elliot Lee scored a second-half goal to lift Doncaster Rovers to a 1-0 upset victory over Barnsley on Saturday in a League One match at Oakwell Stadium. The result defied pregame projections, as statistical models heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO system gave Barnsley a 69.9 percent probability to win. Instead, Doncaster executed a disciplined defensive game plan and capitalized on a decisive moment in the 71st minute to secure all three points. The winning sequence began with defender Corey O’Keeffe, who collected the ball… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-BARS 69.6%
Projected Score ENG-BARS 1 ENG-DONC 1

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