Kuressaare 1, Vaprus 0

PARNU, Estonia (Interstat) — Andero Kivi scored in the 30th minute to lead visiting Kuressaare to a 1-0 victory over Vaprus in the Meistriliiga on Tuesday at Pärnu Rannastaadion. The result was a significant upset, as statistical models heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 win for Vaprus, and its ELO system gave Vaprus an 89.5% probability to win. The match was the season opener for both clubs in Estonia’s top football division. Read more...