BRISTOL, England (Interstat) — Joe Quigley’s 66th-minute goal gave Bristol Rovers a 1-0 victory over Fleetwood Town in a League Two match Friday at Memorial Stadium.

The decisive play involved goalkeeper Brad Young, who was credited with an assist on Quigley’s winner. The match was a physical affair, with eight yellow cards issued by the referee.

The result gave Bristol Rovers a winning start to both its League Two campaign and overall season. Fleetwood Town begins the season with a loss in both categories.

The narrow win defied a pregame projection from Interstat, whose simulator had forecast a 1-1 draw. Its analytics gave Bristol Rovers a 58.3% probability to win.