1-0-0 · W1 · - (1924 ELO +14)

1-0-2 · W1 · - (1549 ELO -14)

Turf Moor · Burnley

Officials: Robert Jones

Burnley vs Newcastle Utd

BURNLEY, England (Interstat) — Newcastle United delivered a stunning and decisive away performance on Tuesday afternoon, defying heavy pregame projections to rout Burnley 3-1 at Turf Moor in a Premier League match. The result, which came on Dec. 30, 2025, was a significant upset according to statistical models. Data firm Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO system gave Burnley a 78.2 percent probability of victory. Instead, Newcastle seized control from the opening moments and never relented, handing Burnley a loss in both teams’ league opener. Newcastle’s attack was immediate and relentless. It took just two… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-NEWC 66.4%
Projected Score ENG-BURN 1 ENG-NEWC 1

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