Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor

SAMSUN, Turkiye (Interstat) — A pair of Turkish Süper Lig sides on divergent form lines will meet Monday when Samsunspor hosts Alanyaspor.

The home side enters the contest at Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadium unbeaten in its last eight matches across all competitions (5W, 3D). That formidable run includes a 2-2 draw with Icelandic club Breioablik in a UEFA Conference League fixture on Nov. 27 and a 1-1 road draw against domestic powerhouse Besiktas on Nov. 23. Samsunspor’s attack has been potent, scoring three or more goals in four of those eight matches.

Conversely, Alanyaspor’s form has been inconsistent. While they secured a 1-0 home victory over Altay SK on Sunday, their recent record is checkered with heavy losses, including a 4-0 defeat to Eskişehirspor and a 3-0 loss to Kutahyaspor in October.

Statistical models suggest a tight contest. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 1-1 draw, while its ELO rating system gives a slight edge to Alanyaspor, projecting the visitors with a 51.70 percent probability to win.

The match kicks off at 7 p.m. local time. Samsunspor’s next fixture is a difficult road test at Galatasaray on Dec. 5, while Alanyaspor travels to Uşakspor in a third-tier promotion match on Dec. 6.