USA: NCAA Division I Women 1 2 G

4-5-1 · W1 · - (1333 ELO +20)

1 1 2

2-1-4 · L2 · - (1253 ELO -20)

0 1 1

Cambridge, MA · Cambridge, Massachusetts

Attendance: 300

Penn at Harvard

CAMBRIDGE, Mass. (Interstat) — The Penn Quakers edged the Harvard Crimson 2-1 in an NCAA women’s soccer match on Saturday, securing a road victory that defied pregame projections. Playing before an intimate crowd of 300 spectators, the Quakers improved their season record to 3-1-5. The Crimson fell to 2-2-3 with the loss. The result was a surprise according to statistical models. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO rating system gave Harvard a 61.6 percent probability of winning the contest. The game’s decisive moment came from a most unlikely source. Harvard forward Anna Rayhill, who entered… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability USC-PEKA 61.5%
Projected Score USC-HAXQ 1 USC-PEKA 1

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