HERMOSILLO, Mexico (Interstat) — A pivotal Liga de Expansión MX clash is set for Sunday at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari as Cimarrones de Sonora host Celaya.

The matchup features two sides seeking momentum. Cimarrones de Sonora (0-0-1) are coming off a 1-1 road draw against Atlético Cocula on Sept. 14. Celaya (0-0-1), meanwhile, looks to rebound from a 3-2 home defeat to Toros Neza UTN on the same date.

Statistical models favor a competitive, high-scoring affair. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 3-2 victory for the home side. Furthermore, their ELO rating system gives Cimarrones de Sonora a 52.70 percent probability of winning.

This contest is the first of 10 scheduled games for each club this season, with the immediate rematch set for later in the campaign when Celaya hosts the return fixture.

Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday, Nov. 23, 2025, in Hermosillo.