LUSAKA, Zambia (March 21, 2026) (Interstat) — The Red Arrows are heavy favorites to defend their home pitch Sunday against a surging Kabwe Warriors side in a pivotal Week 21 Zambian Super League clash at Nkoloma Stadium.

Interstat’s projections strongly favor the hosts. The game simulator predicts a 1-0 victory for the Arrows, while its ELO rating system gives them a 77.80 percent probability to win.

The Arrows (2-1-1 in their last four matches) are coming off a 1-1 road draw with Kansanshi Dynamos on March 15. Their recent form has been inconsistent, featuring a strong 3-2 win at Power Dynamos on March 8 but also a 6-0 loss at ZESCO United in November.

The visiting Warriors, however, arrive with significant momentum. They have won three consecutive matches, including a 3-1 victory over Prison Leopards on March 15 and a 3-2 win against Nchanga Rangers on March 8. Their attack has been potent, scoring 11 goals in those three wins.

Historically, the Warriors’ season has been marked by dramatic swings, including a 5-0 win and a 6-0 loss within a seven-day span last November.

This match is the first of a double-header weekend for both clubs according to the provided schedule, with each team slated to play again on the same day against different opponents. The Warriors are scheduled to visit Lumwana Radiants, while the Arrows are set to host Zanaco on Sunday, March 22. League officials may need to clarify this scheduling anomaly.

Sunday’s contest will test whether the Arrows’ statistical advantage can withstand the Warriors’ current offensive form. The action at Nkoloma Stadium is scheduled for a 3 p.m. local time kickoff.