INVERNESS, Scotland (Interstat) — Inverness Caledonian Thistle will host Partick Thistle on Sunday in a crucial Scottish football playoff semifinal, with statistical models heavily favoring the home side at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.

The match is the first leg of the SCO Play-offs 1/2, a promotion playoff semifinal. The return leg is scheduled for the following Sunday at Partick Thistle’s ground.

Inverness CT enters the fixture in strong form, having won its last recorded match 2-0 over Queen of the South on Sept. 20, 2025. Their preseason and early cup results show a potent attack, including 4-1 victories over Aberdeen FC B and Elgin City in August. However, a 5-1 league defeat to Raith Rovers on July 26 remains a notable blemish.

Partick Thistle arrives seeking momentum after a 2-1 loss at Raith Rovers last Friday. Their recent record against top-flight opposition is challenging, with losses to Aberdeen and Celtic this season. Their form includes a 3-1 win over Ross County and several preseason victories against lower-division sides.

According to Interstat’s projections, Inverness CT is a substantial favorite. The game simulator predicts a 1-0 victory for the hosts, while the ELO rating system gives Inverness CT an 83.60% probability of winning the first-leg encounter.

The playoff tie is part of a congested schedule for Inverness CT, which is slated to face Arbroath in a league match just 24 hours after this playoff fixture on Monday. Partick Thistle’s schedule shows a singular focus on this two-legged semifinal.

Kickoff is set for Sunday, March 8, 2026, in Inverness.