WOLFSBURG, Germany (Interstat) — In a chaotic and high-scoring Bundesliga affair that defied pregame projections, VfB Stuttgart outlasted VfL Wolfsburg 3-2 on Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026, at Volkswagen Arena.

The match, part of Week 8 of the German top-flight season, featured five goals, a flurry of cards and a stunning three-goal outburst in a 40-second span late in the second half that ultimately decided the contest. The result improved Stuttgart’s Bundesliga record to 17 wins, 7 losses and 4 draws this season, while Wolfsburg fell to 8 wins, 16 losses and 5 draws.

The game began at a furious pace with two goals in as many minutes midway through the first half. Stuttgart’s Serhou Guirassy opened the scoring in the 22nd minute, finishing an assist from Hiroki Ito. Wolfsburg responded immediately, leveling the score just a minute later when Omar Marmoush found the net off a pass from Jakub Kaminski.

Wolfsburg then took the lead before halftime. Captain Maximilian Arnold converted an assist from Paulo Otavio in the 38th minute to make it 2-1 for the hosts. Stuttgart, however, found an equalizer in first-half stoppage time. Defender Konstantinos Mavropanos headed in a Pascal Stenzel service in the 45th plus first minute to send the teams into the break tied at 2-2.

The second half was a disjointed, physical affair for much of its duration, with five yellow cards shown between the 47th and 71st minutes. The match seemed destined for a draw until an incredible sequence in the final 10 minutes.

In the 81st minute, Stuttgart’s Stefan Drazic scored what proved to be the winner, breaking the deadlock. Just 40 seconds later, the visitors struck again through David Abagna to double their lead at 4-2. Before Wolfsburg could regroup, Stuttgart added a third goal in that dizzying span, with Leo Natel scoring in the 82nd minute to make it 5-2, completing a stunning three-goal salvo.

Wolfsburg managed a consolation goal in the first minute of added time, as Yannick Gerhardt headed in a Mattias Svanberg cross, but it was too little, too late. The final whistle confirmed a 5-3 victory for the visiting side.

The match was a stark contrast to statistical forecasts. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO rating system gave Wolfsburg a 79.5% probability to win. The result also avenged Stuttgart’s 3-0 loss to Wolfsburg in the previous head-to-head meeting on Oct. 18, 2025.

Discipline was a significant subplot, with the referee issuing seven yellow cards. Wolfsburg’s Patrick Wimmer, Ridle Baku and Arnold were booked, while Stuttgart’s Guirassy, Waldemar Anton, Ito and Atakan Karazor received cautions.

The victory extends Stuttgart’s strong run of form and complicates Wolfsburg’s difficult season. Stuttgart next faces Viktoria Koln in 3. Liga action later on Saturday, while Wolfsburg’s next fixture is at home against Hamburger SV II on March 7.