SELFOSS, Iceland (Interstat) — Breidablik W visits Selfoss W on Saturday in a Week 17 matchup of the ISL Úrvalsdeild Women that carries clear statistical and recent-history advantages for the visitors.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a 2‑1 victory for Breidablik, and the firm’s ELO system gives Breidablik a 69.70 percent probability of winning the May 23 contest at Selfoss’ home ground.

The most recent meeting between the sides came July 30, 2025, when Breidablik thumped Selfoss 5‑1. That result is part of a wider pattern: Selfoss has lost its last two matches overall, while Breidablik enters Saturday having won two of its past three league outings.

Breidablik (most recent result: a 2‑1 loss at ÍBV on May 16) opened the current season with a 2‑1 victory at Keflavík on May 6. The squad also posted wins against Athlone Town W (3‑1) and Thróttur Reykjavík (1‑0) in 2025, though it fell 2‑0 to Twente W in August.

Selfoss (most recent: a 3‑2 loss at Keflavík on May 15) began its 2026 campaign with a 3‑0 home win over ÍBV on May 7. Prior to that, the team lost 3‑2 at Valur in August 2025 and fell to Breidablik by the same 5‑1 scoreline that July.

Saturday’s fixture is the 17th round of the Icelandic women’s top flight. Kickoff time has not been announced.

Breidablik’s recent form includes a 3‑0 loss to Thróttur Reykjavík dating to June 2022, while Selfoss’ 4‑1 win over Thór/KA also dates to that same month – but those results are less relevant given the turnover in rosters and tactics over four years.

Interstat’s simulator, which uses historical data and current form, expects a tightly contested match with Breidablik dictating possession and converting chances. The ELO probability underscores Breidablik’s status as a favorite, though Selfoss will look to reverse a losing streak that has seen them drop three of their last four outings.

For Selfoss, the key will be tightening a defense that conceded five goals in the most recent head‑to‑head and has allowed at least three goals in three of their last four matches. Breidablik, by contrast, has scored multiple goals in four of its last five league games.

The match could have implications for the top of the table as the season approaches its halfway point. Both teams are seeking consistency after mixed opening results.

AP preview: Saturday’s match will be broadcast locally and streamed on the league’s digital platform.