FAULDHOUSE, Scotland (Interstat) — Fauldhouse United is a heavy favorite to advance in the South Challenge Cup when it hosts Hawick Royal Albert at Park View on Sunday.

Interstat’s ELO rating system gives the home side an 87.20 percent probability of victory. The firm’s game simulator projects a narrow 1-0 win for Fauldhouse.

The match pairs two Scottish lower-tier sides seeking momentum in cup play. Both clubs enter the fixture on the back of high-scoring defeats in league play on Sept. 13.

Fauldhouse (0-1-0) was routed 5-1 on the road at Hill of Beath. Its only other recorded result this season was a 4-3 home loss to Armadale Thistle on Aug. 6.

Hawick Royal Albert (0-3-0) fell 4-3 at home to Edinburgh South in its last outing, continuing a pattern of defensive struggles. The club has conceded 22 goals in its three official matches this campaign.

That stretch includes a 4-1 home loss to Threave Rovers on Aug. 30 and an astonishing 11-10 defeat to Preston Athletic at home on Aug. 16, a game that saw 21 combined goals. It opened the season with a 4-0 home loss to Tranent Juniors on Aug. 5.

The visiting side, based in the Borders town of Hawick, will aim to tighten its defense to spring a historic cup upset. Fauldhouse, from West Lothian, will look to leverage its home pitch and statistical advantage to control the match and progress to the next round.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. local time at Park View.