Ceilândia, Brazil (Interstat) — Ceilândia EC hosts Real Brasília on Sunday, May 24, 2026, in a decisive Copa Verde matchup at Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra in Gama, Distrito Federal.

The match carries significant stakes in the regional tournament organized by the Brazilian Football Confederation. Ceilândia enters the contest riding momentum from a dramatic victory Saturday, May 16, when it defeated Brasiliense 3-0 on penalty kicks after a scoreless draw in regulation. That result extended Ceilândia’s undefeated run in the competition.

Real Brasília arrives with less recent competitive action, its last recorded result a 2-1 victory over Legião on Saturday, March 8, 2025, in the Campeonato Brasiliense. The long gap between matches raises questions about the visitors’ sharpness, though the squad has had ample preparation time.

Statistical projections from Interstat offer a mixed outlook. The game simulator projects a 1-1 draw, suggesting a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. However, Interstat’s ELO system assigns Ceilândia an 84.00 percent probability of victory, reflecting a wide gap in historical performance rankings. The disparity between the draw prediction and the high win probability highlights the uncertainty surrounding Real Brasília’s current form.

Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday evening at Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, a venue known for its intimate atmosphere and vocal home support. Ceilândia will look to capitalize on home advantage to secure advancement. Real Brasília aims to defy projections and deliver an upset.