STARA PAZOVA, Serbia (Interstat) — Latvia’s women’s under-17 team earned a surprising 1-0 victory over Israel in a UEFA Championship qualification match Monday at Sportski Centar Fudbalskog saveza Srbije.

The lone goal came in the 75th minute from Latvia’s Lucas Villela, securing the Group B upset. The result defied pre-match projections that heavily favored Israel, which held a 75.7% win probability according to Interstat’s ELO system.

Latvia improved its qualification record to 1-0-0, while Israel fell to 0-0-1. The match saw yellow cards issued to Latvia’s Uma Upīte in the 76th minute and Annija Gabriela Andersone in the 87th minute.