WALSALL, England (Interstat) — Rushall Olympic hosts Carlton Town in an FA Cup first-round match Saturday at Dales Lane.

The game kicks off at 3 p.m. local time (10 a.m. EDT). Rushall Olympic, of the Northern Premier League Premier Division, carries a 62.70 percent win probability according to Interstat’s ELO system. The same simulator projects a 2-1 victory for the home side.

Rushall Olympic enters the match off a 2-1 win at Sporting Khalsa on Jan. 11, 2026. That victory broke a two-game losing streak. The Pics lost 2-0 at home to Spalding United on Oct. 4, 2025, and fell 2-1 at Gainsborough Trinity on Sept. 13, 2025. Their only other recorded result this season is a 5-1 home win over Atherstone Town on Aug. 30, 2025.

Carlton Town arrives on a four-match winless run. The Millers most recently lost 4-0 at Coleshill Town on April 19, 2026. That defeat followed a 2-1 loss at home to Shifnal Town on Sept. 20, 2025, and a 3-0 home loss to Matlock Town on Sept. 13, 2025. Carlton’s lone bright spot came in a wild 5-4 home win over Long Eaton United on Sept. 6, 2025 – the same day they also drew 2-2 at Long Eaton United in a separate fixture (the schedule shows two games on that date, likely a double-header or rearranged match). Earlier, Carlton fell 3-0 at home to Cleethorpes Town on Aug. 30, 2025, but opened the season with a 6-1 home win over Barton Old Boys on Aug. 16, 2025.

Both teams are competing in the early rounds of the FA Cup, England’s oldest knockout competition. Rushall Olympic plays in the eighth tier of English football; Carlton Town resides in the ninth-tier United Counties League Premier Division South.

Dales Lane, capacity 2,000, is expected to host a crowd of several hundred for the all-non-league clash. The match marks the first competitive meeting between the two sides in recent memory.

Interstat’s projection, based on ELO ratings, gives Carlton Town a 37.30 percent chance of advancing. A draw would require a replay, but the simulator does not account for extra time or penalties in this round.

Saturday’s winner will advance to the second round, where they could face higher-league opposition.