ROGACHEV, Belarus (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pre-match projections, Baranovichi delivered a commanding performance to rout Dnepr Rogachev 4-0 on Friday in a Belarusian First Division fixture.

The match, part of the league’s Week 17 schedule, was played at the CSK Vitebskiy Iskusstvennoe pole in Dvor-Paul’e. The comprehensive victory defied statistical forecasts, which heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 3-1 win for Dnepr Rogachev, and its ELO rating system gave the hosts an 83.80 percent probability of victory.

Baranovichi seized control early and never relented. The visitors opened the scoring in the 18th minute through midfielder Andrey Alshanik. The native of Osipovichi, Belarus, struck to give his team a lead it would not surrender.

Any hopes of a Dnepr Rogachev comeback were dashed shortly after halftime. Defender Egor Osipov doubled Baranovichi’s advantage in the 48th minute, heading in from a set piece to put the visitors firmly in command.

The floodgates opened midway through the second half. Midfielder Valeri Zhukovskiy, from Lida, Belarus, found the net in the 56th minute to make it 3-0. Eight minutes later, midfielder Ilya Kirko, who played the full 90 minutes, added a fourth goal to complete the scoring for the starting contingent.

Substitute Ilya Trachinskiy put an emphatic stamp on the result in the 80th minute, scoring just 19 minutes after entering the match to finalize the 4-0 scoreline.

The result marks a significant rebound for Baranovichi following a 2-1 loss to Atlant Kobrin in its previous league outing on March 12. The team now holds a record of 3 wins, 0 losses and 2 draws in the First Division this season, and is 3-1-2 across all competitions.

For Dnepr Rogachev, the defeat is a severe setback and its second loss in the domestic league this season, moving its division record to 3-2-1. The team had entered the match following a 2-1 victory over Lokomotiv Gomel on March 21. Its overall record now stands at 3-2-1.

The match was organized under the auspices of the Belarusian Football Federation. The First Division is the second tier of professional football in Belarus.