Austria Vienna 1, SV Spittal 2

SPITTAL AN DER DRAU, Austria (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, lower-division side Spittal delivered a monumental upset Sunday, defeating Austrian Bundesliga club Austria Vienna 2-1 in the AUT Cup of Cup at Goldeckstadion. The result, which defied both statistical models and conventional wisdom, sent the home supporters into a frenzy and marked a historic day for the club from Carinthia. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for Spittal, while its ELO rating system gave Austria Vienna a 74.6% probability to win. The actual outcome validated one model while completely confounding the other based on… Read more...