ADANA, Turkiye (Interstat) — The final matchday of Turkiye’s second-tier 1. Lig season will feature a critical clash Sunday as Adanaspor hosts Samsunspor at Yeni Adana Stadyumu.

The Week 38 fixture carries significant weight for the visitors. Samsunspor enters the finale looking to secure a strong finish, though its form has been inconsistent. The club is coming off a 3-1 road loss to Antalyaspor on Feb. 13. Its recent results show a pattern of volatility, with a 3-1 win at Denizlispor on Feb. 11 immediately preceded by a 3-1 loss at Yeni Malatyaspor.

Adanaspor, meanwhile, snapped a poor run with a 2-1 victory at Denizlispor on Feb. 15. That win was a rare bright spot in a difficult stretch that included heavy defeats, such as a 7-1 loss to Kahramanmarasspor and a 6-0 loss at Bursaspor earlier this month.

Statistical models heavily favor Samsunspor. Interstat’s ELO rating system gives Samsunspor an 89.20 percent probability to win Sunday’s contest. The same outlet’s game simulator projects a narrow 1-0 victory for the visiting side.

The match represents the end of the domestic campaign for both clubs. Samsunspor’s schedule indicates an anticipated promotion to the top-flight Super Lig next season, with its next fixtures listed against clubs like Fenerbahce SK. Adanaspor’s forthcoming matches, against sides like Sanliurfaspor, suggest it will remain in the 1. Lig or a comparable division.

Kickoff is set for Sunday, Feb. 22, 2026, in Adana. The result will finalize the league standings for both teams, with Samsunspor aiming to validate its statistical favoritism and Adanaspor hoping to close its season with a resilient home performance.