ADANA, Turkiye (Interstat) — A crucial late-season fixture in Turkiye’s second division sees Adanaspor host Ankara Keçiörengücü on Tuesday, with the visitors carrying the weight of statistical favoritism into the match.

The Week 36 TUR: 1. Lig contest at Yeni Adana Stadyumu is a rematch of an Oct. 4 encounter, which Adanaspor won 2-1 on the road. That result provides a glimmer of hope for the hosts, but recent form and projections tilt heavily toward Ankara Keçiörengücü, often shortened to Ankara Kecio.

Interstat’s match simulator projects a 1-0 victory for the visitors, and its ELO rating system gives Ankara Kecio a 67.1% probability of winning. The visitors are arriving off a strong 3-1 home victory over Bandırmaspor on Sunday. Their recent run includes a five-goal outburst against Boluspor and a 5-0 road win at Hatayspor, though form has been inconsistent with draws and a loss mixed in.

Adanaspor’s trajectory is more concerning. The squad is winless in its last two, including a 1-1 draw at Karacabey on Monday and a demoralizing 6-0 road defeat to Bursaspor on Feb. 1. The team has shown attacking sparks this season, such as a 5-2 win at Altınordu, but defensive frailties have been exposed.

The matchup presents a stark contrast in momentum. Ankara Kecio will look to leverage its high-scoring potential to solidify its standing, while Adanaspor desperately needs a positive result to stabilize its campaign. Following this match, Ankara Kecio faces a quick turnaround with a home game against Yeni Malatyaspor on Sunday. Adanaspor’s schedule remains congested, with a home match against Karaman also slated for Sunday.

Kickoff is set for Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2026, at 7 p.m. local time in Adana.