CFB

Valparaiso 20, at Dayton 31

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · Final · Championship Subdivision

Valparaiso at Dayton

DAYTON (Interstat) — Valparaiso will be the visiting team and Dayton will be the home team for an NCAA Football Championship Division game on Saturday at Welcome Stadium in Dayton, Ohio. The forecast for game time calls for 53 degrees Fahrenheit. Valparaiso enters at 4-4, while Dayton is 7-1.

Dayton will look to continue a strong season behind quarterback Bryce Schondelmyer, a player to watch. In his past three games, Schondelmyer completed 19 of 27 passes for 206 yards and three touchdowns against Stetson, 26 of 38 passes for 259 yards and two touchdowns against San Diego, and 28 of 36 passes for 297 yards and two touchdowns against Butler. Dayton is coming off a 44-34 win at Stetson. Mirko Jaksic and Tyler Brown each had one tackle in that game. Dayton also has home wins over San Diego (37-32) and Morehead State (56-28), a road win at Butler (19-9) and a road loss at Drake (30-22). Dayton’s other results include a 17-14 win at Eastern Kentucky, a 30-7 home win over Thomas More College and a 43-20 home win over Fairmont State. Dayton’s seven wins are over Fairmont State, Thomas More College, Eastern Kentucky, Morehead State, Butler, San Diego and Stetson. Its lone loss is to Drake.

Valparaiso is coming off a 24-7 home win over Presbyterian. Rowan Keefe completed 21 of 29 passes for 275 yards and one touchdown and added four runs for 4 yards and a score. Caleb Baczek had five tackles, 1.5 sacks and one quarterback hurry, and Connor Cervantes added two tackles and one quarterback hurry. Valparaiso also has a 21-13 home win over Drake and a 38-13 loss at San Diego. The Beacons have a 37-3 road win at Morehead State and a 59-13 home win over Lawrence Tech. Valparaiso’s other results include losses to Butler (33-28), Indiana State (39-16) and Murray State (27-18). The Beacons’ four wins are over Lawrence Tech, Morehead State, Drake and Presbyterian. Their four losses are to Murray State, Indiana State, Butler and San Diego. Valparaiso is scheduled to visit Stetson and host Saint Thomas (Minn.) in its next two games. Dayton is scheduled to host Davidson and visit Presbyterian in its next two games.

Interstat’s game simulator is projecting a final score of Dayton 49, Valparaiso 21. Interstat’s ELO system is projecting Dayton with a 90.4 percent probability to win.