North Dakota at Northern Iowa

CEDAR FALLS, Iowa (Interstat) — North Dakota will carry a 5-1 record into a Saturday NCAA Football Championship Division matchup against Northern Iowa at the UNI-Dome, where the Fighting Hawks will face the 2-2 Panthers.

North Dakota enters after a 55-28 home win over Murray State in its most recent game. Quarterback Jerry Kaminski is the player to watch. In that victory, Kaminski completed 18 of 24 passes for 186 yards and three touchdowns, rushed 10 times for 98 yards and another score, and caught a 12-yard pass. Javance Tupou’ata-Johnson added 22 rushing yards. Earlier this season, Kaminski completed 33 of 48 passes for 381 yards and four touchdowns and rushed 18 times for 86 yards and two scores in a 42-35 win at Indiana State. At Nebraska, he passed for 106 yards, rushed for 3 yards and had a touchdown in a 34-7 loss.

North Dakota also owns wins over Portland State, Saint Thomas (Minn.) and Long Island. The Fighting Hawks opened with a 42-21 home victory over Long Island, then beat Saint Thomas (Minn.) 62-26 at home, won at Portland State 47-23, fell at Nebraska 34-7 and beat Indiana State 42-35 on the road before returning home to defeat Murray State. North Dakota’s only loss this season came at Nebraska.

Northern Iowa is 2-2 after a 28-21 home win over Illinois State in its most recent game. Jaxon Dailey completed 13 of 17 passes for 217 yards and two touchdowns, rushed 10 times for 44 yards and a score. Xavier Terrell rushed eight times for 80 yards and a touchdown and added a 4-yard reception. Ben Gordon rushed four times for 41 yards and had two catches for 13 yards. The Panthers opened with a 34-24 loss at Eastern Washington, then beat Drake 56-14 before falling 55-0 at Iowa. Northern Iowa’s two losses came at Eastern Washington and at Iowa.

North Dakota’s upcoming schedule includes a home game against South Dakota State, road trips to South Dakota and Youngstown State, and home games against Illinois State and Southern Illinois. Northern Iowa is set to visit Youngstown State and Southern Illinois before hosting Indiana State and South Dakota State, then visiting South Dakota and Murray State. The Panthers have six games remaining on their schedule.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of North Dakota 47, Northern Iowa 27. Interstat’s ELO system gives North Dakota a 68.3 percent probability to win. Northern Iowa has been installed as a pregame favorite with a spread of -14.5. The over/under is 58.5.