CFB

North Carolina State 33, at Duke 45

Saturday, September 20, 2025 · Final · Bowl Subdivision

Bowl Subdivision 1 2 3 4 PTS

North Carolina State Wolfpack

8-5 · W3 · #47 (1634 ELO -24)

7 13 6 7 33

Duke Blue Devils

9-5 · W4 · #32 (1756 ELO +24)

7 14 14 10 45

Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC

North Carolina State at Duke

DURHAM, N.C. (Interstat) — Darian Mensah passed for three touchdowns and Anderson Castle broke a 66-yard scoring run late in the fourth quarter to seal Duke’s 45-33 victory over previously unbeaten North Carolina State on Saturday at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils (1-2) erupted for 28 points across the second and third quarters to overcome an early deficit and hand the Wolfpack (3-0) its first loss of the season in the ACC opener for both teams. The game was a stark contrast to preseason projections. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a low-scoring Duke win, 28-26, and its ELO system… Read more...

Top Statlines

CJ Bailey NCSU 29/39-364yd 7run-9yd 2td
Will Wilson NCSU 2run-2yd 2td
Darian Mensah DUKE 19/28-269yd 3td

Forecasting

ELO Probability DUKE 70.6%

Spread NCSU +3.5

Projected Score DUKE 28 NCSU 26

Money Line DUKE -155/NCSU +135

Over/Under 57.5 (Over)