54-14 · L1 · #1 (1650 ELO +4)

26-31 · L1 · #41 (1479 ELO -4)

North Carolina at Duke

DURHAM, N.C. (Interstat) — North Carolina erupted for 22 runs on 18 hits Saturday afternoon to rout Duke 22-5 in a seven-inning Atlantic Coast Conference game that was decided early by a massive fourth inning. The Tar Heels improved to 36-8-1 overall and 17-6 in the ACC after splitting the first two games of the series. Duke dropped to 23-23 and 10-13 in conference play, having lost five of its last six. The game was supposed to be a pitcher’s duel. Interstat’s game simulator projected an 8-1 Tar Heels victory, and its ELO system gave North Carolina a 66.50 percent… Read more...


Forecasting

ELO Probability UNC 66.4%
Projected Score UNC 8 DUKE 1

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