40-25 · L1 · #54 (1439 ELO -5)

37-26 · L2 · #68 (1404 ELO +5)

Bobcat Ballpark · San Marcos, TX

Louisiana-Lafayette at Texas State

SAN MARCOS, Texas (Interstat) — Powered by a relentless offensive barrage that included six home runs, the Texas State Bobcats routed the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns 16-6 in a Sun Belt Conference baseball game Sunday evening at Bobcat Ballpark. The victory completed a three-game series sweep for Texas State (15-8, 3-0 Sun Belt) over Louisiana-Lafayette (16-8, 0-3), decisively reversing the preseason projections. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a Louisiana-Lafayette win with an 8-4 final score, and its ELO system gave the Ragin’ Cajuns a 52.7 percent probability to win. The most important sequence of the game unfolded in the bottom of… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability ULL 52.0%
Projected Score ULL 8 TXST 4

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