38-21 · L2 · #114 (1352 ELO +3)

28-24 · L2 · #152 (1306 ELO -3)

Tarleton State at New Mexico

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (Interstat) — In a wild, back-and-forth offensive showcase, Slade McCloud drove in three runs and scored three times to lead the Tarleton State Texans to a 13-11 victory over the New Mexico Lobos on Friday night. The game, which featured 33 combined hits and six lead changes, defied pregame projections that heavily favored the Lobos. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 7-5 New Mexico win, with an ELO system giving the Lobos a 58.7% probability of victory. The most critical sequence came in the top of the eighth inning, with the score tied 11-11. Tarleton State’s Rayner Heinrich… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability NM 57.4%
Projected Score NM 7 TARL 5

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