ASHEVILLE, N.C. (Interstat) — High Point faces UNC Asheville on Saturday afternoon at Greenwood Baseball Field in a Big South series finale, with first pitch set for 4 p.m. under clear skies and 68-degree temperatures.

The Panthers (35-18 overall) enter with a 76.8 percent win probability according to Interstat’s ELO system, which projects a 7-3 victory. High Point took Thursday’s opener 11-10 in 10 innings before losing 11-0 on Friday. UNC Asheville (21-33) will try to even the series after Friday’s rout.

High Point right-hander Ty Brachbill, a key figure in the rotation, is likely to start. Brachbill allowed one earned run over five innings in Friday’s loss but struck out three, and he threw a complete-game shutout (8 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 7 K) against Longwood on May 2. In his last five starts, Brachbill has a 2.55 ERA with 32 strikeouts in 34.1 innings. He dominated Winthrop on May 9 with a nine-inning, two-run outing.

UNC Asheville counters with left-hander Lucas Boesen, who earned Friday’s win by tossing eight shutout innings, allowing three hits and striking out 11. Boesen has been inconsistent but electric: he threw 6.1 scoreless innings at Radford on May 10, but also allowed four earned runs in 3.1 innings against Charleston Southern on April 24. In his last five outings, Boesen has a 2.53 ERA with 29 strikeouts in 29.2 innings.

The Bulldogs’ offense was led Friday by shortstop Logan Lowe (3-for-4, 3 RBIs) and designated hitter Ben Green (2-for-5, 4 RBIs). High Point’s only hit in that game came from first baseman Landen Johnson (1-for-3).

High Point has won seven of its last 10, including a sweep of Winthrop (May 8-10) and a 2-1 win at UNC Wilmington on May 5. UNC Asheville has dropped six of its last 10, but took two of three at Radford last weekend.

Saturday’s game is the rubber match of the three-game set. High Point leads the season series 1-0, but the teams have split the first two games of this weekend.