California Baptist at UC Davis
DAVIS, Calif. (Interstat) — California Baptist, on a hot streak with 41 wins against 13 losses, faces UC Davis on Friday at Dobbins Baseball Complex in a pivotal series continuation. The Lancers (41-13) already took Wednesday’s opener 6-3 behind right-hander Ryne Palmer, who threw five scoreless innings with five strikeouts. The Aggies (26-26) counter with first baseman Ethan Felix, who homered and drove in three runs in that same loss.
Friday’s forecast is 70 degrees and clear, with the Interstat game simulator projecting an 8-7 California Baptist victory and giving the Lancers a 61.60% probability to win according to its ELO system.
Palmer has been erratic but dominant. In his last five outings, he tossed four shutout innings or more three times — including a six-inning, one-hit gem against Utah Tech on April 26 — but also was roughed up for four earned runs in 2.1 innings against Sacramento State on May 10. Against UC Davis on Wednesday, he allowed zero hits but two earned runs over five innings.
Felix has been UC Davis’s most consistent bat. Over his past eight games, he has multiple hits five times, including a two-homer, six-RBI explosion at Cal State Fullerton on May 2. He went 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBIs on Wednesday, and he drove in a run in a 3-1 win over Hawaii on May 10.
The series began Wednesday with California Baptist’s 6-3 win. Thursday’s scheduled game was either postponed or ended without a reported score; no additional details were available. Friday’s matchup concludes the three-game set.
California Baptist’s offense has been potent all season. The Lancers scored six or more runs in nine of their past 10 games, including an 8-3 win at UC Santa Barbara on Monday and an 18-6 rout at UC Riverside on April 28. Their only recent hiccup was a 19-2 loss to Sacramento State on May 10.
UC Davis has split its last 10 games. The Aggies took two of three at Cal State Fullerton to open May, then split a four-game series with Hawaii before Wednesday’s loss. Felix has provided the power, while the pitching staff — led by Mason Lerma (four innings, three hits, no earned runs on Wednesday) and Taylor Werth — has been serviceable but inconsistent.
First pitch is scheduled for the afternoon. The game will be played at Dobbins Baseball Complex, with both teams eyeing postseason positioning.