Summit ELO Ratings

Friday, March 22, 2019
ELO Rank Last Game ELO Change Detail
South Dakota State 1481 1 3/19/2019 -5 L at Texas (ELO 1691 #38), 73-79
Omaha 1324 2 3/12/2019 +26 L vs North Dakota State (ELO 1324 #163), 63-73
North Dakota State 1300 3 3/22/2019 -1 L at Duke (ELO 2032 #2), 62-85
Fort Wayne 1236 4 3/11/2019 -5 L at Omaha (ELO 1350 #150), 60-61
South Dakota 1213 5 3/10/2019 -25 L at Fort Wayne (ELO 1241 #197), 70-96
North Dakota 1127 6 3/9/2019 -6 L at Omaha (ELO 1345 #150), 76-81
Oral Roberts 1115 7 3/10/2019 -11 L at North Dakota State (ELO 1266 #163), 73-86
Denver 1063 8 3/2/2019 -14 L vs Omaha (ELO 1339 #150), 76-86
Western Illinois 1039 9 3/11/2019 -4 L at North Dakota State (ELO 1270 #163), 73-76
More Info & Glossary

ELO ratings were invented by physics professor Arpad Elo to rate chess players, but the formula is flexible enough to handle any type of competition. Teams gain points for winning games and lose points after losing. The number of points the winner wins is the same as how much the loser loses, so it is a zero-sum system. More points are transferred after upset wins, games won by wider margins, and playoff games.

Because ELO ratings show relative strength of teams, we can generate win probabilities for games based on the ELO rating difference between the teams involved. National Statistical calculates these probabilities before each game, presents them on the website, then highlights in green for correct and red for wrong.

For details about how we calculate things like K-factor and EH probability, refer to our FAQ. You can read more about the details of ELO ratings and adjustments at Baseball Prospectus, Hockey Analytics or Opisthokonta.

National Statistical is not affiliated with or endorsed by the NCAA, and all information on this site should be considered unofficial.

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