Colonial ELO Ratings

Thursday, March 21, 2019
ELO Rank Last Game ELO Change Detail
Northeastern 1577 1 3/21/2019 -10 L at Kansas (ELO 1898 #12), 53-87
College of Charleston 1493 2 3/11/2019 -16 L at Northeastern (ELO 1571 #68), 67-70
Hofstra 1472 3 3/19/2019 -5 L at North Carolina State (ELO 1711 #34), 78-84
William & Mary 1280 4 3/10/2019 -33 L vs Delaware (ELO 1181 #222), 79-85
Delaware 1175 5 3/11/2019 -6 L at Hofstra (ELO 1493 #104), 74-78
Drexel 1128 6 3/10/2019 -6 L at College of Charleston (ELO 1509 #93), 61-73
UNC Wilmington 1125 7 3/10/2019 -6 L at Northeastern (ELO 1555 #68), 59-80
James Madison 1121 8 3/10/2019 -6 L at Hofstra (ELO 1487 #104), 67-76
Elon 1110 9 Preseason
Towson 1085 10 3/9/2019 -12 L at James Madison (ELO 1127 #247), 73-74
More Info & Glossary

ELO ratings were invented by physics professor Arpad Elo to rate chess players, but the formula is flexible enough to handle any type of competition. Teams gain points for winning games and lose points after losing. The number of points the winner wins is the same as how much the loser loses, so it is a zero-sum system. More points are transferred after upset wins, games won by wider margins, and playoff games.

Because ELO ratings show relative strength of teams, we can generate win probabilities for games based on the ELO rating difference between the teams involved. National Statistical calculates these probabilities before each game, presents them on the website, then highlights in green for correct and red for wrong.

For details about how we calculate things like K-factor and EH probability, refer to our FAQ. You can read more about the details of ELO ratings and adjustments at Baseball Prospectus, Hockey Analytics or Opisthokonta.

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